Futuros Alternativos para la Región de Loreto

 

ALTERNATIVE FUTURES FOR THE REGION OF LORETO,
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, MEXICO


Marine Impacts

The flow of sedimentation and other contaminants from building activities and land use change has the potential to cause severe damage to the marine ecosystems of the Loreto region. Sediment loading will damage, in particular, the benthic communities that inhabit the bottom of the ocean floor that are critical to the functioning of the other marine ecosystems. In turn, this will impact the quality and quantity of local fish and shellfish production. The quantity of sediment flows is an important determinant of damage, as is the content of these sediment flows. The presence of toxic waste associated with human activities and untreated sewage will exacerbate the damage on ecosystems that are integral to the economic future of Loreto.

The growth of tourism and resident populations in Loreto will increase the number of fishermen plying the waters of the region. Increased fishing effort will put additional pressure on fishing stocks that are already displaying signs of overexploitation. The fishing model elaborated as a part of this study estimates the impact on fishing stocks of increasing numbers of fishermen. The model employs a fishing search algorithm that estimates the risk of an individual fish being caught that enters the waters of the region. Extrapolating from this model, we can make inferences about the risk of overexploitation of the fishery and losing the viability of resident fish stocks. We consider here that when over 20% of the stock of a species is taken in a season, the sustainability of the population is at risk. As seen in Figure 23, the current level of fishing effort is already putting resident communities of fish in jeopardy. The probability of a major collapse in fish populations rises substantially with an increase in visitors.

The dynamics of the model operate differently for resident species versus migratory species. For the resident fishing stocks such as grouper or sea bass, the activities of local fishermen represent the main pressures on fishing stocks, and the local fishing sector will also suffer the consequences of a collapse in the fishery. For migratory species, the actions of Loreto’s sport fishermen have an impact on the fishery throughout the Gulf of California and are impacted by similar actions in other regions of the gulf. Not only are the fish themselves at risk, but the economic viability of the sportfishing and artisanal fishing sectors are in danger. Increasing numbers of fishermen competing for the same dwindling fishing stocks will destroy Loreto’s reputation as an excellent launching point for sportfishing. This is true for both resident and migratory species. Hundreds of fishermen vying to catch each marlin that passes through the waters is much less attractive than a few dozen fishermen on the water at any particular time.


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