ALTERNATIVE FUTURES FOR THE
REGION OF LORETO,
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, MEXICO
Comparing the Scenarios
Figure 34 graphically displays the aggregate performance of each of
the Alternative Futures, using summary indices for economic and
environmental performance. The socio-economic index
is the same as explained earlier. The environmental index is based
upon the results of the visual terrestrial ecology, and marine ecology
models. The terrestrial ecology impacts are not as
important in Loreto. Therefore the terrestrial ecology indictor is
given half the weight of the visual nd marine aspects. Moving from the
upper left to the lower right implies a trade-off between
conomic performance and environmental quality. Movements from the
lower left to the upper right indicate an improvement in both economic
and environmental terms. The distribution of the
twenty-five Alternative Futures confirms the strong relationship
between environmental and economic outcomes for Loreto. The results
also suggest that limiting the amount of growth is essential for
Loreto to achieve the best socio-economic and environmental results.